Looking in British Columbia and Alberta…

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dal…

35 thoughts on “Looking in British Columbia and Alberta…

  1. Forrest likes to keep records of stats. Suspect he picked up along the way as an air force pilot. Funny no one has mentioned yet that I know of.

    Anyways archeology requires the study of stats probability and logic. Personally I like mixing in other puzzles and upping academia archaeologists.

    For example:

    He estimates 1.000 people (that he knows of) have searched for the treasure. This would be between October 2010 till January 1st 2013. Out of this group of 1,000 people:

    Knows of “more than a few people who have searched within 500 feet of the site.”
    What is more than a few? Couple would be 2, few 3 and several 4. For argument sakes let’s say 5 people.

    So 5 out of 1,000 would be 0.5% of the group. Did they physically look? Regardless, they wrote Forrest there search locations. They knew where warm waters halt. Then again given chance where they bound to hit these areas?

    We can use probability to ask where did these 1000 people look?

    New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, Utah, Nevada, Idaho, Wyoming and Montana for the US game board.

    Know of only 1 person that looked in Idaho. If others don’t come forward (at least state what state they looked in by having a poll) then Idaho can be dropped. Why does that matter? That’s 83,574 square miles off the game board.

    Yes Texans love to think big:) One of the reasons why that lost hiker got here self in so much trouble. But that’s another story.

    So unless 3 to 5 people come forward and say they looked in British Columbia/ Alberta this falls into possible but not probable.

    Sources Hemispheres Maggie Goldsmith

    Rick

    P.S.

    Dal suspect what your having a problem with in your request for a geologist or archaeologist. Drop me a line:)

    • Rick, good idea on the stats, it seems probable. However, I have question on the assumption. I know he says that he knows more than a few have come within 500 feet of the treasure. I am not certain though that he said that he knows more than a few who were searching had come within 500 feet. On the other hand he has said that one or two, a couple have got the first two clues right only to go astray. JP

      • JP

        Based on probability, groups of 1, 2, or 3 people but not groups of 4 or 5 should go back and look.Other factors are reducing the probability (where to look) down for this group of 5.

        Now if you want me to lay out that math to this that’s going to cost you.

        Like yourself plan on looking and going back to a place I have looked:)

        Rick

      • On another note:

        Back on Dec 3 2012 Mark knew about a person being within 500 feet before that Hemisphere article came out on Jan 1st 2013.

        Source: http://www.treasurenet.com/forums/cache-hunting/281442-forrest-fenn-s-treasure-5.html

        Now Mark and who ever told “themarkd” vowed not to tell the person in order not to destroy “their psyche”

        So this group vowed not to tell them………

        Now if I go back to this location and happen to find the treasure let me tell you about other people;’s psyches that is going to get destroyed…………

    • Rick,
      I don’t get you comment to Dal about his request for a geologist. Can you explain?
      Dal…I am here if you want to talk.

  2. Texans love to think big:) Reason for the story of the lost hiker. Problem with thinking big? You first have to know how to tie your shoe lace before you can run.

    She could have parked her car and come over the top of the falls she was trying to get to:

    [IMG]http://i46.tinypic.com/2r6397d.jpg[/IMG]

  3. On another note:

    Back on Dec 3 2012 Mark knew about a person being within 500 feet before that Hemisphere article came out on Jan 1st 2013.

    Source: http://www.treasurenet.com/forums/cache-hunting/281442-forrest-fenn-s-treasure-5.html

    Now Mark and who ever told “themarkd” vowed not to tell the person in order not to destroy “their psyche”

    So this group vowed not to tell them………

    Now if I go back to this location and happen to find the treasure let me tell you about other people;’s psyches that is going to get destroyed…………

  4. I don’t think it is in british columbia or alberta No. 1 you would have to get a passport or have a birth certificate No.2 there would be some record of him driving across the boarder or taking a flight from an airline or filing a flight record if they were flying there own plane. All of the above would be fairly easy to locate these records . I will check with some sources i know but I doubt very seriously if Forrest would go there after his diagnosis unless to get some kind of medical treatment he could not get in the U.S.

    • an emailer from Canada asked FF if he found the chest how he would get it back into Canada. FF suggested he could sell and just take the $ back with him. notice that he did not say, hey maybe it is in Canada, so then you do not have a problem with that.

  5. Statement A Dec 3 2012 “Within 500 feet”

    Statement B January 1 2013 “Within 500 feet”

    We have 2 to 5 people who took a oath…….

    This game has no rules so anything can go on, of course anything illegal is out of the question that’s just common sense.

  6. I’m itching for warm weather so I can go look more because I like the winning feeling of cracking a riddle and love a good road trip than for a treasure which will probably cause lots of trouble. I’ve got two options not too far from Mr. Fenn’s home area. My Dad was a feisty old guy, too, but going more than a couple-three-four hundred miles on a lark wouldn’t have been big on his thrill list. So, I’ve got a couple of ideas and they’re all well south of BC and Alberta. I don’t think Mr. Fenn would have given overly obscure hints, but certainly some study has to be done to “get” them. That was the idea, wasn’t it? Get us all to learn of new places and maybe even visit them? I’ve already mapped out plenty of new explores based on my research. LOVE IT!

  7. Based on what was read on the Treasurenet forum realting to forrest:

    http://www.treasurenet.com/forums/cache-hunting/281442-forrest-fenn-s-treasure.html

    and time spent sorting out the (uncomplete) logic we have;

    1 person within 500 feet and 4 other people knowing personally who this person is well that makes “more than a few” 5 in total.

    So why is this an issue? Know something about “brotherhood” some claim they have but they don’t………..

    Brotherhood died a long time ago……….

    Glad you “LOVE IT!” Kath F………..

  8. This just in from Forrest-
    Dal, I’m getting lots of email from people that say someone claims to have found the treasure. Can you assure them that 14 different men have made bogus claims to have found the treasure but no one has. f

  9. Totally agree NO ONE HAS FOUND IT

    But Dal are you maybe 1 of 5 that has been within 500 feet?

    Feel I might be 1 of the 5………Possible not likely. So I’m fighting for others, possibly you dal and myself here…….

    While another group keeps them out of the loop………….

  10. There are 3 Groups:

    Group A: 2 to 5 that have the inside track

    Group B: The 5 within 500 feet

    Group C Neither excluded

    People need to pick a group so Group B can have a dogfight and start shooting down Group A’s jets.

    Want Navy to beat Air:)

    look here:http://youtu.be/A7Ws5zC6-8M

  11. Forrest estimates 5000 people will look for the treasure during spring break.

    If 1000 people created 5 people within 500 feet. Then 5000 people will create 25 people (Group D) within 500 feet.

    Group B Is losing ground every day, while 15 others are gaining ground.

    If the puzzle is still standing after spring break………………..

    • There will still be a lot of snow during spring break so maybe those of us without children in school and/or not in college will still have a chance. 🙂

  12. Actually Group D such as yourself have the better chance of winning.

    Since that’s 20 potential new winners compared to 5 who likely won’t go back and look.

    Like to see the results by April 7th:)

  13. It’s not in Nevada and it is more than 300 miles west of Toledo, but those won’t help you much. Good luck. f

    Source: Forrest Fenn

    That’s 110,561 sq miles off the game board…………

  14. Realize last post might come across wrong. there is no edit or delete feature like a forum board here.

    The internet is a bad form of communication at times. It doesn’t convey voice tone or show face movement etc. We must learn to use a certain type of skills of communication on the net

    One of the reasons I think Forrest doesn’t care for gadgets

    Read so many ideas would have never thought before. So that was to help others:)

    Rick

  15. Why don’t you go back into the 9 clues section JP instead of giving me problems and trying to trip me up…….

    Like this statement you made;

    I know he says that he knows more than a few have come within 500 feet of the treasure. I am not certain though that he said that he knows more than a few who were searching had come within 500 feet. On the other hand he has said that one or two, a couple have got the first two clues right only to go astray. JP

  16. Some hunts are of the nature that it is simply not worth sharing what you know about it or, what you think you know.

    Hunt happily and “solve” on. I’m my own:)

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